
Your monthly insight into the UK property landscape
📈 Key Headlines This Month
- House prices rise 2.5% annually to £271,000 (November 2025 data)
- Bank of England holds base rate at 3.75% - but vote was closer than expected
- Property market shows early recovery signs after challenging autumn period
- North East leads price growth while London continues to struggle
🏠 House Prices: Steady Growth Returns
The UK property market delivered encouraging news in January, with government figures showing house prices increased by 2.5% annually to reach an average of £271,000 by November 2025.
This marks a notable improvement from October's 1.9% growth rate, suggesting the market is finding its feet after months of uncertainty.
Regional Performance Spotlight
Strongest Growth:
- North East: 6.8% annual increase
- Scotland: 4.5% annual growth
- Northern Ireland: 7.1% quarterly rise
Challenging Areas:
- London: -1.2% annual decline (improving from -2.6% in October)
- Wales: 0.7% modest growth
- England average: 2.2% steady increase
The regional divide remains clear, with northern areas continuing to outperform the capital and southern regions where affordability pressures persist.
🏦 Interest Rates: Holding Pattern with Hidden Optimism
February brought mixed signals from the Bank of England. The base rate remained at 3.75% as expected, but the voting split revealed underlying optimism for borrowers.
The surprise: Four out of nine committee members voted for a cut to 3.5%, suggesting future reductions remain likely.
What This Means for Mortgages
Mortgage rates have edged up slightly in early February, with several major lenders including Nationwide, Santander, and Virgin Money raising rates by up to 0.19 percentage points. However, rates remain at their lowest levels since 2022 following the recent price war.
Current Best Rates:
- 2-year fixed: From 3.55% (60% LTV)
- 5-year fixed: From 3.73% (60% LTV)
- Average rates still significantly lower than early 2025
📊 Market Sentiment: Green Shoots Emerge
Industry professionals are cautiously optimistic about 2026. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) reported the least negative readings in several months during January.
Key Indicators Improving:
Buyer Activity:
- New buyer enquiries: -15% (improved from -21% in December)
- Agreed sales: -9% (best reading since June 2025)
Future Expectations:
- 35% of surveyors expect sales increases over the next 12 months
- 43% anticipate price rises over the coming year
- Strongest optimism since December 2024
🏠 Rental Market: Cooling But Still Pressured
Private rents continue rising but at a slower pace. Average UK monthly rents reached £1,368 in December 2025, representing a 4.0% annual increase - down from 4.4% the previous month.
Regional Rental Highlights:
Highest Growth Areas:
- North East: 7.9% annual increase
- Wales: 5.7% growth
- Northern Ireland: 5.7% rise
Moderating Growth:
- London: Just 2.1% increase (down from 2.8%)
- Scotland: 2.8% growth
- England average: 3.9% rise
💡 What This Means for Property Investors
January's data suggests the market may be entering a gradual recovery phase after the challenging autumn period. However, several factors warrant close attention:
Opportunities:
✅ Regional markets like the North East showing strong fundamentals
✅ Mortgage rates remain competitive despite recent increases
✅ Market confidence slowly returning among professionals
✅ Buyer choice at highest levels in 18 years
Considerations:
⚠️ Economic uncertainty around inflation and interest rate trajectory
⚠️ Regional variations remain significant
⚠️ Affordability pressures particularly in southern markets
⚠️ Political factors may impact future market conditions
🔍 Looking Ahead: February & Beyond
The property market appears to be finding its footing after the autumn slowdown. While challenges remain, particularly around affordability and economic uncertainty, the underlying fundamentals suggest a gradual strengthening through 2026.
Key factors to watch:
- Bank of England decisions on interest rates
- Mortgage lender competition and pricing
- Regional market performance variations
- Economic data and inflation trends
For property professionals and investors, the message remains clear: cautious optimism with careful attention to local market conditions and funding costs.


