UK Property Market Update: July 2025
Chris Hunter • August 1, 2025

The market resets as prices dip, supply rises, and reform looms

The property market is finally catching its breath.


After years of volatility driven by inflation, interest rate hikes, and pandemic aftershocks, we're now seeing a more stable—though still competitive—landscape shaped by falling prices, improved affordability, and active policy debate.


Here's what's happening across the UK housing market in July 2025:


📉  Asking Prices: A Historic July Dip

This month, Rightmove reported that average asking prices fell by 1.2% to £373,709, marking the steepest July decline in over two decades. Inner London saw the sharpest regional fall at –2.1%, followed by the South East (Rightmove,The Guardian).


Despite this, buyer activity remained robust, with sales agreed up 5% year-on-year, showing that well-priced homes are still moving in today’s market.


🔍  Regional Overview


North East England

Yorkshire & the Humber


🏘️  Government Data: Prices and Transactions

According to the ONS, the average UK house price rose by 3.9% in the 12 months to May, reaching £269,000. Meanwhile, rents climbed 6.7%, driven by tight supply—particularly in the North East, which saw a staggering 9.7% rent increase (ONS).


The Land Registry confirmed these trends, showing an average sale price of £268,652 in May, reflecting 1.1% annual growth, with newer data due in mid-September (Land Registry).


Transaction activity also rebounded: HMRC reported 81,470 completed residential transactions in May, up 25% from April, but still 12% below May 2024 levels. Much of this is attributed to buyers rushing to beat stamp duty threshold changes in April (HMRC).


🏦 Mortgage Rates & Lending

Affordability is gradually improving. The average two-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 4.53%, down from over 5.3% a year earlier. This equates to a monthly saving of around £150 for the average borrower (The Guardian).


The Bank of England’s easing of affordability stress tests is also expected to unlock lending for an estimated 36,000 extra first-time buyers annually, making it easier for households with good credit but limited deposit capacity to enter the market (The Guardian).


🧱 New Builds & Rental Trends

In the new-build sector, buyer demand remained strong in areas like Southampton (35% sold subject to contract), Sheffield, and Bristol, while weaker interest was noted in Swansea and Liverpool (WealthWise).


The rental market is bracing for transformation. The anticipated Renters’ Rights Bill, likely to pass in early 2026, would ban Section 21 evictions, cap rent hikes, and introduce an independent ombudsman. Some landlords warn this could restrict rental supply further and increase upward pressure on rents (The Week).


⚖️ Policy Pressure: Stamp Duty & Downsizer Relief

Calls for stamp duty reform are growing louder. According to Rightmove, only 40% of homes now fall under the SDLT exemption threshold, down from 53% in 2017. The current thresholds are seen as outdated and a barrier to mobility (FT).


There’s also a push to offer stamp duty relief for downsizers, with the potential to free up 2.5 million homes over five years, improving availability for younger families and first-time buyers (Country Life).


🔮 What’s Next? Forecasts for 2025

  • Rightmove cut its full-year house price forecast from +4% to +2%, citing competitive supply and affordability caps (Rightmove).

  • Zoopla expects price growth to hold near 2.5%, focused mostly in affordable northern markets.

  • Savills and others have downgraded 2025 expectations to just +1%, with recovery forecasts shifted toward 2026–2027 (The Times).


  Summary: A Market in Reset Mode

The UK property market in July 2025 shows clear signs of recalibration:

  • Prices are cooling, especially in the South, while demand remains resilient
  • Affordability is improving, but buyers are increasingly price-sensitive
  • Stock levels are rising, giving buyers more leverage
  • Policy changes and lending reforms are reshaping the market



For buyers and investors, this is a moment of opportunity—if you're prepared. For sellers, it's more important than ever to price realistically and understand local dynamics.

The property market is finding its new balance after years of extremes. Those who understand these shifting dynamics will be best positioned to make smart decisions in the months ahead.

Note: All facts and statistics in this report are accurate as of the publication date in July 2025. Property market conditions change frequently, so please verify the latest data before making any investment decisions.


By Chris Hunter March 6, 2026
February 2026: A Market at the Crossroads
By Chris Hunter February 14, 2026
Your monthly insight into the UK property landscape 📈 Key Headlines This Month House prices rise 2.5% annually to £271,000 (November 2025 data) Bank of England holds base rate at 3.75% - but vote was closer than expected Property market shows early recovery signs after challenging autumn period North East leads price growth while London continues to struggle 🏠 House Prices: Steady Growth Returns The UK property market delivered encouraging news in January, with government figures showing house prices increased by 2.5% annually to reach an average of £271,000 by November 2025. This marks a notable improvement from October's 1.9% growth rate, suggesting the market is finding its feet after months of uncertainty. Regional Performance Spotlight Strongest Growth: North East: 6.8% annual increase Scotland: 4.5% annual growth Northern Ireland: 7.1% quarterly rise Challenging Areas: London: -1.2% annual decline (improving from -2.6% in October) Wales: 0.7% modest growth England average: 2.2% steady increase The regional divide remains clear, with northern areas continuing to outperform the capital and southern regions where affordability pressures persist. 🏦 Interest Rates: Holding Pattern with Hidden Optimism February brought mixed signals from the Bank of England. The base rate remained at 3.75% as expected, but the voting split revealed underlying optimism for borrowers. The surprise: Four out of nine committee members voted for a cut to 3.5%, suggesting future reductions remain likely. What This Means for Mortgages Mortgage rates have edged up slightly in early February, with several major lenders including Nationwide, Santander, and Virgin Money raising rates by up to 0.19 percentage points. However, rates remain at their lowest levels since 2022 following the recent price war. Current Best Rates: 2-year fixed: From 3.55% (60% LTV) 5-year fixed: From 3.73% (60% LTV) Average rates still significantly lower than early 2025 📊 Market Sentiment: Green Shoots Emerge Industry professionals are cautiously optimistic about 2026. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) reported the least negative readings in several months during January. Key Indicators Improving: Buyer Activity: New buyer enquiries: -15% (improved from -21% in December) Agreed sales: -9% (best reading since June 2025) Future Expectations: 35% of surveyors expect sales increases over the next 12 months 43% anticipate price rises over the coming year Strongest optimism since December 2024 🏠 Rental Market: Cooling But Still Pressured Private rents continue rising but at a slower pace. Average UK monthly rents reached £1,368 in December 2025, representing a 4.0% annual increase - down from 4.4% the previous month. Regional Rental Highlights: Highest Growth Areas: North East: 7.9% annual increase Wales: 5.7% growth Northern Ireland: 5.7% rise Moderating Growth: London: Just 2.1% increase (down from 2.8%) Scotland: 2.8% growth England average: 3.9% rise 💡 What This Means for Property Investors January's data suggests the market may be entering a gradual recovery phase after the challenging autumn period. However, several factors warrant close attention: Opportunities: ✅ Regional markets like the North East showing strong fundamentals ✅ Mortgage rates remain competitive despite recent increases ✅ Market confidence slowly returning among professionals ✅ Buyer choice at highest levels in 18 years Considerations: ⚠️ Economic uncertainty around inflation and interest rate trajectory ⚠️ Regional variations remain significant ⚠️ Affordability pressures particularly in southern markets ⚠️ Political factors may impact future market conditions  🔍 Looking Ahead: February & Beyond The property market appears to be finding its footing after the autumn slowdown. While challenges remain, particularly around affordability and economic uncertainty, the underlying fundamentals suggest a gradual strengthening through 2026. Key factors to watch: Bank of England decisions on interest rates Mortgage lender competition and pricing Regional market performance variations Economic data and inflation trends For property professionals and investors, the message remains clear: cautious optimism with careful attention to local market conditions and funding costs.
More Posts