September 2025 property market update and the end of the 3rd quarter


September seemed less eventful than previous months. This could be because people are now waiting for a budget in late November and what surprise could be coming everyone's way.
What Zoopla thinks
UK house price inflation is about
1.4 % year-on-year to August 2025.
High-value properties are facing the strongest headwinds:
• Buyer demand for £1 million+ homes is down ~11 % year-over-year.
• New listings above £500,000 are also down (9 % fewer at £1m+, 7 % fewer at £500k+).
Some parts of southern England are already seeing year-on-year price declines (e.g. Bournemouth, Exeter, Central London) due to increased supply and changing tax burdens for second homes.
Zoopla notes that moving home typically takes 6-7 months from offer to completion, so decisions made now may be affected by future tax changes.
Zoopla House Price Index: September 2025
Home Track report
Annual house price inflation is 1.4 % to August 2025.
Demand for higher-value homes is weakening.
- Transactions for homes priced at £1 million+ are down ~11 %.
- There are fewer new listings in the >£500,000 range.
Stronger price growth in more affordable areas.
- In cheaper markets, inflation is up to +2.8 %.
Mortgage rates are relatively stable (4 %–5 %).
- This stability supports demand, but rates are unlikely to fall soon.
Widening geographic divergence.
- The “north/south divide” is growing: southern England is weaker, while many other UK regions are stronger.
Overall market activity is expected to plateau.
- But Hometrack cautions that serious buyers and sellers shouldn’t delay decisions.
ONS
Overall Growth: UK house prices have increased by approximately 2.7% year-on-year as of July 2025, with regional variations: England saw a 2.7% rise, Wales 2.0%, and Scotland 3.3% Office for National Statistics.
Foreign Investment in Buy-to-Let: Despite recent tax increases and regulatory changes targeting landlords, foreign investment in UK buy-to-let properties is on the rise. Investors are attracted by the country's strong legal framework, clear property ownership rules, and attractive rental yields—around 10% in some regions The Times.
Forecast Adjustments: Knight Frank revised its 2025 forecast to a 1% increase, down from 3.5% in May, citing high supply and speculative tax concerns Knight Frank UK.
You'll notice a common thread running through these reports. We've highlighted similar viewpoints from different sources to show you the consensus: most companies are thinking along the same lines.
Our Final Thoughts: Navigating Uncertainty in the UK Property Market
This month, all eyes are on two big unknowns impacting the UK property landscape: the upcoming budget at the end of November and the ever-looming Renters Reform. It feels like everyone's holding their breath, wondering what these changes will mean for their investments.
We understand the hesitation. Should you buy? Should you wait? These are valid questions. But at Chant Properties, we've always viewed property as a long-term game. Rules and regulations will inevitably change, but our core philosophy remains the same: if the deal is right, we're in.
This year has been a rollercoaster of predictions. Remember the forecasts of sky-high prices and massive growth? As you've likely seen, many companies (some mentioned in this very newsletter!) are now readjusting their expectations. House price growth has slowed, and rents are starting to slow up, reflecting the ongoing push and pull in the market.
The key takeaway? Don't let short-term uncertainty paralyse you. Property investment requires a long-term perspective. We'll adapt to the changing rules, continue to seek out solid opportunities, and remain committed to delivering value for our investors. That's the Chant Properties promise.
This blog post was written by Chris and Anthony Hunter, founders of Chant Properties Ltd. The information provided is based on market data available as of September 2025 and represents our current understanding of the property market. Always seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Please fact-check all information before publishing, particularly the statistics, dates, and specific details about policy changes.



